The 2014 Who's Who of Solar Silicon Production – Bernreuter Research

 

How the press covers and reviews the report

Bernreuter Research has published a new study on silicon production with probably the greatest amount of information on the subject so far. Bernreuter paints a picture of the industry that is as extensive as it is detailed. The study is also valuable because, unlike many of his fellow analysts, Bernreuter goes beyond just reporting the status quo. Indeed, the scale of Bernreuter’s analysis is quite impressive. In the study’s key section, he outlines four scenarios with estimated production figures through 2017 to analyse each manufacturer individually. Just to give an idea of the sheer size of his work, Bernreuter researched some 1,200 statistics from about 80 companies worldwide for each scenario.

Jörn Iken in Sun & Wind Energy 1/2014

Download the complete review as a PDF:
SWE-1-2014-Polysilicon-Report-Review.pdf
(74 kB)

After a short recovery in 2013, the polysilicon industry is once again steering toward oversupply, according to a new report from Germany-based Bernreuter Research. According to the report, up to 66,000 MT of low-cost capacity is soon coming online that will push expensive producers out of the market and will consequently reduce the spot price.

www.solarindustrymag.com, January 8, 2014

The 2014 Who's Who of Solar Silicon Production finds that while polysilicon production fell 4% to 228,000 metric tons in 2013, that another 66,000 metric tons of capacity is due to come online in 2014. And while the growing solar photovoltaic (PV) market in 2013 allowed the reduction of polysilicon inventories, the report expects that trend to end in 2014.

www.solarserver.com, January 9, 2014

Bernreuter predicts that strong growth this year in the PV industry, which makes up approximately 90% of the total demand for polysilicon, will initially drive up the spot price. Covering a broad range of PV installation forecasts, the company offers three scenarios, spreading from 43 GW (low case) to 46 GW (base case) and 49 GW (high case). In the high-case scenario, the polysilicon spot price will rise to a bandwidth of 21 to 24 $/kg in the first half of 2014, whereas it will not exceed 20 $/kg in the base case. In all three scenarios, however, the spot price will drop to 16 $/kg by the end of 2014.

Edgar Meza on www.pv-magazine.com , January 9, 2014

Interestingly, Bernreuter projects that roughly one third of the new capacity expected to come on stream this year would be based on FBR (fluidised bed reactor) technology using monosilane as the feed gas. Technical developments in FBR technology have focused on both reduced production costs and higher purity levels, which now have the ability to put the traditional Siemens process under competitive risks but also, according to Bernreuter, will play a part in keeping polysilicon prices low.

Mark Osborne on www.pv-tech.org, January 9, 2014

The 2014 Who's Who of Solar Silicon Production

Players, Technologies, Supply/Demand, Prices
Global Market Perspectives through 2017

  • Paperback:  124 pages (hard copy only, no electronic file)
  • Release date:  January 8, 2014
  • Dimensions:  29.4 x 21 x 0.8 cm (11.6 x 8.3 x 0.3 inches)
  • Delivery time:  2 to 3 business days to most locations,
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