News on inventory

News on suppliers, market trends and technology innovations in polysilicon and wafer production is selected, assessed and written for you by Bernreuter Research.

Polysilicon spot prices from December 2024 through March 26, 2025

Why the polysilicon price has been cemented and can’t rise soon

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The huge inventory mountain piled up by Chinese polysilicon manufacturers in 2024 is hardly carried off. This is why the polysilicon price has not risen despite a price rally downstream.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of OCI, Daqo, Wacker and REC Silicon from Q4 2023 through Q4 2024

Wacker copes with polysilicon headwinds better than its peers

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The German polysilicon manufacturer improved its EBITDA margin in the fourth quarter, whereas its competitors OCI, Daqo and REC Silicon struggled with various, partly self-induced problems.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of OCI Malaysia, Wacker, Daqo and REC Silicon from Q3 2023 through Q3 2024

OCI and Wacker feel weak demand due to US anti-dumping case

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Market uncertainty weighs on the EBITDA margin of both polysilicon manufacturers, whereas Chinese competitor Daqo is still in the red since its average selling price remains below cash costs.

Key performance indicators of Tongwei, GCL Technology, Daqo New Energy and Xinte Energy in the first half of 2024

Top four polysilicon makers incur net losses in first half of 2024

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The polysilicon price crash in China left its mark on the earnings of the world’s four largest polysilicon manufacturers Tongwei, GCL Technology, Daqo New Energy and Xinte Energy in the first half of 2024.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of OCI Malaysia, Wacker, Daqo and REC Silicon from Q2 2023 through Q2 2024

Margin of Chinese polysilicon maker Daqo crashes into deep red

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Non-Chinese competitors OCI Malaysia and Wacker left Daqo behind as their earnings benefitted from reduced costs and the increased spread to plummeting prices in China in the second quarter.

Wafer production capacities in and outside China 2023/2024

Why wafers are the Achilles’ heel of a non-Chinese supply chain

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No other link of the solar supply chain is more dominated by China than the production of silicon ingots and wafers. There are reasons why non-Chinese wafer plants will hardly flourish anytime soon.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of Daqo, OCI, Wacker and REC Silicon from Q3 2022 through Q3 2023

Polysilicon makers Daqo and Wacker down to same margin level

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The polysilicon price crash in China drove the EBITDA margins both of Chinese low-cost producer Daqo New Energy and its German competitor Wacker down to less than 15% in the third quarter.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of Daqo, OCI, Wacker and REC Silicon from Q2 2022 through Q2 2023

After polysilicon price crash: Daqo loses its margin lead to OCI

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The polysilicon price crash in China seriously impacted the earnings of Daqo in the second quarter. The Chinese manufacturer lost its lead to OCI, which benefited from the higher price of non-Chinese polysilicon.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of Daqo, OCI, Wacker and REC Silicon from Q1 2022 through Q1 2023

Polysilicon margins have started to descend from their peak

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Weak demand and declining prices left first marks on the results of polysilicon manufacturers, such as Daqo, OCI and Wacker, in the first quarter; earnings have started to descend from their peak.

Curves of the global polysilicon price average from January 2022 through the first week of January 2023 (dark blue) and from January 2021 through the first week of January 2022 (pink)

Polysilicon price slump accelerates, but will not last very long

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Since the last week of December 2022, the slump of the polysilicon price has accelerated drastically; however, there are good arguments that the price collapse will soon come to a halt.

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