News on spot price

News on suppliers, market trends and technology innovations in polysilicon and wafer production is selected, assessed and written for you by Bernreuter Research.

Monthly polysilicon price average from October 2011 through December 2023

Why the pork cycle has returned to the polysilicon market

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A period of weak demand until 2020 laid the ground for a polysilicon shortage that has triggered excessive capacity expansion in China. Now overcapacity provokes the next shakeout.

Polysilicon price trend 2023 versus 2011

Polysilicon price decline in 2023 vs. 2011 – an amazing parallel

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The comparison between the polysilicon price developments in 2023 and 2011 is the most precise forecast Bernreuter Research has ever made. As it has turned out, the price dropped by 66% in both years.

The ten most popular posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2023

The top 10 posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2023

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The announcement of its new market report, The Polysilicon Market Outlook 2027, is the most popular among the top ten posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2023.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of Daqo, OCI, Wacker and REC Silicon from Q3 2022 through Q3 2023

Polysilicon makers Daqo and Wacker down to same margin level

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The polysilicon price crash in China drove the EBITDA margins both of Chinese low-cost producer Daqo New Energy and its German competitor Wacker down to less than 15% in the third quarter.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of Daqo, OCI, Wacker and REC Silicon from Q2 2022 through Q2 2023

After polysilicon price crash: Daqo loses its margin lead to OCI

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The polysilicon price crash in China seriously impacted the earnings of Daqo in the second quarter. The Chinese manufacturer lost its lead to OCI, which benefited from the higher price of non-Chinese polysilicon.

Polysilicon price trend 2023 versus 2011

The crash of the polysilicon price was merely a matter of time

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After the crash below US$10 per kg, the global polysilicon price has not yet reached its bottom. This lies below US$7 per kg – the cash cost level of the last producer needed to satisfy demand.

Curves of the global polysilicon price average from January 2022 through the first week of January 2023 (dark blue) and from January 2021 through the first week of January 2022 (pink)

Polysilicon price slump accelerates, but will not last very long

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Since the last week of December 2022, the slump of the polysilicon price has accelerated drastically; however, there are good arguments that the price collapse will soon come to a halt.

The ten most popular posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2022

The top 10 posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2022

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An accident at East Hope’s polysilicon plant in Xinjiang in northwestern China and the drop of the spot price at the end of the year were the most popular topics from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2022.

The ten most popular posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2021

The top 10 posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2021

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New entrants in China, the FBR project of GCL and news on non-Chinese polysilicon manufacturers are the most popular themes among the top ten posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2021.

Curve of the polysilicon spot price in 2021

First rays of light at the end of the polysilicon high-price tunnel

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After a massive price surge during 2021, signs are piling up that the polysilicon price is about to come down from its high level of US$36/kg. But a new price increase could follow in 2022.