News on spot price

News on suppliers, market trends and technology innovations in polysilicon and wafer production is selected, assessed and written for you by Bernreuter Research.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of OCI Malaysia, Daqo, Wacker and REC Silicon from Q1 2023 through Q1 2024

Wacker is approaching the margin of Chinese competitor Daqo

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After the polysilicon price in China has fallen even below the cash costs of Daqo, its German competitor Wacker could soon outstrip the EBITDA margin of the Chinese polysilicon manufacturer.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of OCI Malaysia, Daqo, Wacker and REC Silicon from Q4 2022 through Q4 2023

Polysilicon makers achieved mixed results in the fourth quarter

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The EBITDA margins of OCI Malaysia, Wacker and REC Silicon fell to a various extent and for different reasons. Only Chinese manufacturer Daqo New Energy was able to buck the trend.

Monthly polysilicon price average from October 2011 through December 2023

Why the pork cycle has returned to the polysilicon market

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A period of weak demand until 2020 laid the ground for a polysilicon shortage that has triggered excessive capacity expansion in China. Now overcapacity provokes the next shakeout.

Polysilicon price trend 2023 versus 2011

Polysilicon price decline in 2023 vs. 2011 – an amazing parallel

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The comparison between the polysilicon price developments in 2023 and 2011 is the most precise forecast Bernreuter Research has ever made. As it has turned out, the price dropped by 66% in both years.

The ten most popular posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2023

The top 10 posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2023

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The announcement of its new market report, The Polysilicon Market Outlook 2027, is the most popular among the top ten posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2023.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of Daqo, OCI, Wacker and REC Silicon from Q3 2022 through Q3 2023

Polysilicon makers Daqo and Wacker down to same margin level

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The polysilicon price crash in China drove the EBITDA margins both of Chinese low-cost producer Daqo New Energy and its German competitor Wacker down to less than 15% in the third quarter.

Polysilicon EBITDA margins of Daqo, OCI, Wacker and REC Silicon from Q2 2022 through Q2 2023

After polysilicon price crash: Daqo loses its margin lead to OCI

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The polysilicon price crash in China seriously impacted the earnings of Daqo in the second quarter. The Chinese manufacturer lost its lead to OCI, which benefited from the higher price of non-Chinese polysilicon.

Polysilicon price trend 2023 versus 2011

The crash of the polysilicon price was merely a matter of time

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After the crash below US$10 per kg, the global polysilicon price has not yet reached its bottom. This lies below US$7 per kg – the cash cost level of the last producer needed to satisfy demand.

Curves of the global polysilicon price average from January 2022 through the first week of January 2023 (dark blue) and from January 2021 through the first week of January 2022 (pink)

Polysilicon price slump accelerates, but will not last very long

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Since the last week of December 2022, the slump of the polysilicon price has accelerated drastically; however, there are good arguments that the price collapse will soon come to a halt.

The ten most popular posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2022

The top 10 posts from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2022

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An accident at East Hope’s polysilicon plant in Xinjiang in northwestern China and the drop of the spot price at the end of the year were the most popular topics from Bernreuter Research on LinkedIn in 2022.